Target Price Playground
HON
$229.01
๐ข
HON IV: 29.8% โ LOW
(-55.1% vs 30d avg of 66.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $255 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $229.01 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HON hits $255 by Aug 21: the long stock returns +$2,599 (11.3%) on $22,901 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Aug 21.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HON hits $255 by Aug 21
+$2,599
+11.3% on $22,901 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$22,901
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$229.01
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
39%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HON Price | Today | Jul 18 | Aug 17 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $183 (-20%) | -$4,580 | -$4,580 | -$4,580 |
| $195 (-15%) | -$3,435 | -$3,435 | -$3,435 |
| $206 (-10%) | -$2,290 | -$2,290 | -$2,290 |
| $218 (-5%) | -$1,145 | -$1,145 | -$1,145 |
| $224 (-2%) | -$458 | -$458 | -$458 |
| $229 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $234 (+2%) | +$458 | +$458 | +$458 |
| $240 (+5%) | +$1,145 | +$1,145 | +$1,145 |
| $252 (+10%) | +$2,290 | +$2,290 | +$2,290 |
| $255 (+11%) โ target | +$2,599 | +$2,599 | +$2,599 |
| $263 (+15%) | +$3,435 | +$3,435 | +$3,435 |
| $275 (+20%) | +$4,580 | +$4,580 | +$4,580 |
Uses HON's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.