Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $81 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $92 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.21 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $85 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.29 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $81 by Oct 16: the bear put spread returns +$308 (78.5%) on $392 risked, vs $-1,113 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 6.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $81. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $81 by Oct 16
+$308
+78.5% on $392 risked
Max Profit
+$308
If the stock โค $85 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$392
Net debit
Break-even
$88.08
-4.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.29 / -0.94 / 0.63
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | +$155 | +$181 | +$232 | +$308 |
| $78 (-15%) | +$105 | +$124 | +$168 | +$308 |
| $81 (-12%) โ target | +$74 | +$88 | +$122 | +$308 |
| $83 (-10%) | +$51 | +$61 | +$86 | +$308 |
| $88 (-5%) | -$4 | -$6 | -$6 | +$56 |
| $90 (-2%) | -$37 | -$46 | -$62 | -$221 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | -$58 | -$71 | -$98 | -$392 |
| $94 (+2%) | -$79 | -$96 | -$133 | -$392 |
| $97 (+5%) | -$109 | -$132 | -$181 | -$392 |
| $101 (+10%) | -$155 | -$186 | -$247 | -$392 |
| $106 (+15%) | -$196 | -$232 | -$298 | -$392 |
| $111 (+20%) | -$232 | -$271 | -$333 | -$392 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.