Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $105 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $92 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.97 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $100 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.55 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $105 by Oct 16: the bull call spread returns +$458 (133.7%) on $342 risked, vs +$1,287 (14.0%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 9.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $105. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $105 by Oct 16
+$458
+133.7% on $342 risked
Max Profit
+$458
If the stock โฅ $100 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$342
Net debit
Break-even
$95.42
+3.57% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.48 / -0.32 / -0.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | -$235 | -$265 | -$311 | -$342 |
| $78 (-15%) | -$191 | -$220 | -$274 | -$342 |
| $83 (-10%) | -$139 | -$163 | -$216 | -$342 |
| $88 (-5%) | -$84 | -$99 | -$138 | -$342 |
| $90 (-2%) | -$49 | -$58 | -$83 | -$342 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | -$26 | -$30 | -$44 | -$329 |
| $94 (+2%) | -$3 | -$2 | -$5 | -$145 |
| $97 (+5%) | +$32 | +$40 | +$54 | +$132 |
| $101 (+10%) | +$87 | +$108 | +$148 | +$458 |
| $105 (+14%) โ target | +$129 | +$158 | +$215 | +$458 |
| $106 (+15%) | +$140 | +$171 | +$231 | +$458 |
| $111 (+20%) | +$188 | +$226 | +$299 | +$458 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.