Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
INTC
$92.13
๐ŸŸข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ€” LOW (-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $97 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

56d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $85 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.29 ยท ฮ” -0.32
P&L at Expiry Now $92 Target $97 $64 $92 $120
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If INTC hits $97 by Oct 16: the cash-secured put returns +$529 (6.6%) on $-529 credit (max loss $7,971), vs +$487 (5.3%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 1.2ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $97. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if INTC hits $97 by Oct 16
+$529
+6.6% on $7,971 max loss
Max Profit
+$529
If the stock โ‰ฅ $85 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$7,971
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$79.71
-13.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
32.24 / 6.96 / -13.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

INTC Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$74 (-20%) -$940 -$831 -$699 -$601
$78 (-15%) -$661 -$532 -$359 -$140
$83 (-10%) -$422 -$280 -$82 +$321
$88 (-5%) -$223 -$76 +$128 +$529
$90 (-2%) -$120 +$26 +$225 +$529
$92 (0%) โ† spot -$58 +$86 +$279 +$529
$94 (+2%) -$1 +$140 +$324 +$529
$97 (+5%) โ† target +$82 +$216 +$384 +$529
$101 (+10%) +$181 +$303 +$444 +$529
$106 (+15%) +$264 +$371 +$482 +$529
$111 (+20%) +$329 +$421 +$504 +$529
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.