Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $88 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $92 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.6 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $88 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.2 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $88 by Oct 16: the diagonal put spread returns +$496 (112.7%) on $440 risked, vs $-413 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 25.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $88. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $88 by Oct 16
+$496
+112.7% on $440 risked
Max Profit
+$495
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$340
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$100.05
+8.59% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
86%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.89 / 1.65 / 4.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | +$29 | +$53 | +$81 | +$50 |
| $78 (-15%) | +$34 | +$68 | +$120 | +$148 |
| $83 (-10%) | +$31 | +$70 | +$140 | +$289 |
| $88 (-4%) โ target | +$18 | +$58 | +$134 | +$497 |
| $90 (-2%) | +$9 | +$48 | +$121 | +$380 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$37 | +$106 | +$294 |
| $94 (+2%) | -$9 | +$25 | +$88 | +$215 |
| $97 (+5%) | -$25 | +$5 | +$56 | +$109 |
| $101 (+10%) | -$55 | -$34 | -$6 | -$37 |
| $106 (+15%) | -$88 | -$77 | -$73 | -$149 |
| $111 (+20%) | -$122 | -$122 | -$138 | -$233 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.