Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $81 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $92 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.21 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $81 by Oct 16: the long put returns +$179 (19.4%) on $921 risked, vs $-1,113 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $81. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $81 by Oct 16
+$179
+19.4% on $921 risked
Max Profit
+$8,279
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$921
Premium paid
Break-even
$82.79
-10.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
65%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.53 / -7.9 / 14.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | +$1,095 | +$1,013 | +$930 | +$909 |
| $78 (-15%) | +$766 | +$656 | +$527 | +$448 |
| $81 (-12%) โ target | +$590 | +$467 | +$311 | +$179 |
| $83 (-10%) | +$473 | +$340 | +$168 | -$13 |
| $88 (-5%) | +$218 | +$70 | -$135 | -$473 |
| $90 (-2%) | +$83 | -$72 | -$288 | -$750 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$157 | -$377 | -$921 |
| $94 (+2%) | -$77 | -$236 | -$457 | -$921 |
| $97 (+5%) | -$184 | -$342 | -$560 | -$921 |
| $101 (+10%) | -$336 | -$489 | -$691 | -$921 |
| $106 (+15%) | -$461 | -$604 | -$780 | -$921 |
| $111 (+20%) | -$562 | -$691 | -$838 | -$921 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.