Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $100 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $92.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $88 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.2 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $100 by Oct 16: the protective put returns +$67 (0.7%) on $9,933 risked, vs +$787 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $100. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $100 by Oct 16
+$67
+0.7% on $9,933 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,133
Put floors you at $88
Break-even
$99.33
+7.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.01 / -7.65 / 13.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | -$867 | -$965 | -$1,076 | -$1,133 |
| $78 (-15%) | -$708 | -$830 | -$987 | -$1,133 |
| $83 (-10%) | -$510 | -$650 | -$841 | -$1,133 |
| $88 (-5%) | -$273 | -$423 | -$633 | -$1,133 |
| $90 (-2%) | -$113 | -$265 | -$477 | -$904 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$152 | -$361 | -$720 |
| $94 (+2%) | +$118 | -$32 | -$237 | -$536 |
| $97 (+5%) | +$306 | +$159 | -$34 | -$259 |
| $100 (+9%) โ target | +$541 | +$401 | +$224 | +$67 |
| $101 (+10%) | +$641 | +$504 | +$336 | +$201 |
| $106 (+15%) | +$1,002 | +$879 | +$740 | +$662 |
| $111 (+20%) | +$1,383 | +$1,275 | +$1,166 | +$1,123 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.