Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 64.3% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $105 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $92 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.97 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $92 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.21 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $105 by Oct 16: the long straddle returns $-618 (-32.2%) on $1,918 risked, vs +$1,287 (14.0%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $105. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $105 by Oct 16
$-618
-32.2% on $1,918 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,918
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$111.18
+20.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.95 / -16.92 / 28.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | +$348 | +$162 | -$24 | -$88 |
| $78 (-15%) | +$150 | -$90 | -$370 | -$549 |
| $83 (-10%) | +$25 | -$260 | -$627 | -$1,010 |
| $88 (-5%) | -$24 | -$342 | -$772 | -$1,470 |
| $90 (-2%) | -$18 | -$348 | -$801 | -$1,747 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$335 | -$796 | -$1,905 |
| $94 (+2%) | +$30 | -$308 | -$772 | -$1,721 |
| $97 (+5%) | +$94 | -$244 | -$701 | -$1,444 |
| $101 (+10%) | +$249 | -$78 | -$503 | -$984 |
| $105 (+14%) โ target | +$413 | +$102 | -$284 | -$618 |
| $106 (+15%) | +$461 | +$154 | -$219 | -$523 |
| $111 (+20%) | +$720 | +$440 | +$126 | -$62 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.