Target Price Playground
INTC
$92.13
๐ข
INTC IV: 67.1% โ LOW
(-32.4% vs 30d avg of 99.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $100 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $92.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $100 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.55 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $100 by Oct 16: the covered call returns +$1,442 (16.8%) on $8,558 risked, vs +$787 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $9,213. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $100. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $100 by Oct 16
+$1,442
+16.8% on $8,558 risked
Max Profit
+$1,442
If the stock โฅ $100 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$8,558
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$85.58
-7.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.01 / 8.7 / -14.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $74 (-20%) | -$1,331 | -$1,257 | -$1,200 | -$1,188 |
| $78 (-15%) | -$957 | -$855 | -$760 | -$727 |
| $83 (-10%) | -$613 | -$484 | -$343 | -$266 |
| $88 (-5%) | -$303 | -$149 | +$39 | +$194 |
| $90 (-2%) | -$132 | +$34 | +$247 | +$471 |
| $92 (0%) โ spot | -$26 | +$148 | +$374 | +$655 |
| $94 (+2%) | +$74 | +$254 | +$494 | +$839 |
| $97 (+5%) | +$215 | +$403 | +$656 | +$1,116 |
| $100 (+9%) โ target | +$366 | +$559 | +$821 | +$1,442 |
| $101 (+10%) | +$423 | +$617 | +$881 | +$1,442 |
| $106 (+15%) | +$600 | +$794 | +$1,053 | +$1,442 |
| $111 (+20%) | +$749 | +$937 | +$1,178 | +$1,442 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.