Target Price Playground
INTC
$134.99
๐ข
INTC IV: 78.4% โ LOW
(-27.1% vs 30d avg of 107.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $134.99 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $145 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.5 ยท ฮ 0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $145 by Aug 21: the covered call returns +$2,652 (22.4%) on $11,849 risked, vs +$1,002 (7.4%) for 100 shares on $13,499. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $145 by Aug 21
+$2,652
+22.4% on $11,849 risked
Max Profit
+$2,652
If the stock โฅ $145 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$11,849
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$118.49
-12.22% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
50.05 / 16.52 / -22.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $108 (-20%) | -$1,525 | -$1,323 | -$1,131 | -$1,050 |
| $115 (-15%) | -$1,041 | -$795 | -$534 | -$375 |
| $121 (-10%) | -$597 | -$312 | +$18 | +$300 |
| $128 (-5%) | -$195 | +$124 | +$514 | +$975 |
| $132 (-2%) | +$27 | +$362 | +$782 | +$1,380 |
| $135 (0%) โ spot | +$166 | +$512 | +$949 | +$1,650 |
| $138 (+2%) | +$300 | +$653 | +$1,104 | +$1,920 |
| $142 (+5%) | +$488 | +$851 | +$1,318 | +$2,325 |
| $145 (+7%) โ target | +$631 | +$999 | +$1,474 | +$2,651 |
| $148 (+10%) | +$773 | +$1,145 | +$1,624 | +$2,651 |
| $155 (+15%) | +$1,024 | +$1,397 | +$1,871 | +$2,651 |
| $162 (+20%) | +$1,243 | +$1,611 | +$2,065 | +$2,651 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.