Target Price Playground
LIN
$512.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.3% โ LOW
(-35.0% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $450 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $510 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.28 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $470 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.52 ยท ฮ -0.16
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $450 by Aug 21: the bear put spread returns +$2,724 (213.4%) on $1,276 risked, vs $-6,215 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $51,215. Options give 17.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $450. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $450 by Aug 21
+$2,724
+213.4% on $1,276 risked
Max Profit
+$2,724
If the stock โค $470 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,276
Net debit
Break-even
$497.24
-2.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
22%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-27.13 / -4.07 / 31.99
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $410 (-20%) | +$2,522 | +$2,628 | +$2,704 | +$2,724 |
| $435 (-15%) | +$2,175 | +$2,361 | +$2,588 | +$2,724 |
| $450 (-12%) โ target | +$1,853 | +$2,048 | +$2,347 | +$2,724 |
| $461 (-10%) | +$1,559 | +$1,731 | +$2,029 | +$2,724 |
| $487 (-5%) | +$768 | +$804 | +$865 | +$1,070 |
| $502 (-2%) | +$292 | +$231 | +$98 | -$467 |
| $512 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$113 | -$336 | -$1,276 |
| $522 (+2%) | -$261 | -$409 | -$676 | -$1,276 |
| $538 (+5%) | -$587 | -$754 | -$1,008 | -$1,276 |
| $563 (+10%) | -$953 | -$1,087 | -$1,226 | -$1,276 |
| $589 (+15%) | -$1,142 | -$1,220 | -$1,270 | -$1,276 |
| $615 (+20%) | -$1,227 | -$1,262 | -$1,275 | -$1,276 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.