Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.3% โ LOW
(-35.0% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $580 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $510 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.1 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $560 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.57 ยท ฮ 0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $580 by Aug 21: the bull call spread returns +$3,347 (202.6%) on $1,653 risked, vs +$6,611 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $51,389. Options give 15.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $580. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $580 by Aug 21
+$3,347
+202.6% on $1,653 risked
Max Profit
+$3,347
If the stock โฅ $560 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,653
Net debit
Break-even
$526.53
+2.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
34.62 / -4.35 / 18.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | -$1,624 | -$1,647 | -$1,653 | -$1,653 |
| $437 (-15%) | -$1,521 | -$1,604 | -$1,649 | -$1,653 |
| $463 (-10%) | -$1,237 | -$1,415 | -$1,592 | -$1,653 |
| $488 (-5%) | -$679 | -$907 | -$1,250 | -$1,653 |
| $504 (-2%) | -$215 | -$411 | -$756 | -$1,653 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | +$133 | -$13 | -$289 | -$1,264 |
| $524 (+2%) | +$500 | +$419 | +$261 | -$236 |
| $540 (+5%) | +$1,053 | +$1,083 | +$1,143 | +$1,305 |
| $565 (+10%) | +$1,889 | +$2,065 | +$2,381 | +$3,347 |
| $580 (+13%) โ target | +$2,277 | +$2,490 | +$2,829 | +$3,347 |
| $591 (+15%) | +$2,516 | +$2,733 | +$3,042 | +$3,347 |
| $617 (+20%) | +$2,914 | +$3,090 | +$3,271 | +$3,347 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.