Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.1% โ LOW
(-35.5% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $513.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $560 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.57 ยท ฮ 0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $560 by Aug 21: the covered call returns +$5,268 (10.4%) on $50,732 risked, vs +$4,611 (9.0%) for 100 shares on $51,389. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $560 by Aug 21
+$5,268
+10.4% on $50,732 risked
Max Profit
+$5,268
If the stock โฅ $560 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$50,732
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$507.32
-1.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
37%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
76.85 / 13.57 / -65.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | -$9,623 | -$9,621 | -$9,621 | -$9,621 |
| $437 (-15%) | -$7,064 | -$7,053 | -$7,051 | -$7,051 |
| $463 (-10%) | -$4,547 | -$4,498 | -$4,482 | -$4,482 |
| $488 (-5%) | -$2,148 | -$2,007 | -$1,923 | -$1,912 |
| $504 (-2%) | -$821 | -$596 | -$418 | -$371 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$285 | +$549 | +$657 |
| $524 (+2%) | +$757 | +$1,102 | +$1,462 | +$1,685 |
| $540 (+5%) | +$1,760 | +$2,180 | +$2,677 | +$3,226 |
| $560 (+9%) โ target | +$2,826 | +$3,298 | +$3,889 | +$5,268 |
| $565 (+10%) | +$3,053 | +$3,528 | +$4,120 | +$5,268 |
| $591 (+15%) | +$3,897 | +$4,331 | +$4,820 | +$5,268 |
| $617 (+20%) | +$4,385 | +$4,728 | +$5,053 | +$5,268 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.