Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.1% โ LOW
(-35.5% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $490 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $510 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.3 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $490 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.98 ยท ฮ -0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $490 by Aug 21: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,366 (132.5%) on $1,032 risked, vs $-2,389 (-4.6%) for 100 shares on $51,389. Options give 28.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $490. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $490 by Aug 21
+$1,366
+132.5% on $1,032 risked
Max Profit
+$1,313
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,032
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$514.43
+0.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-15.13 / -0.28 / 29.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | +$790 | +$802 | +$798 | +$793 |
| $437 (-15%) | +$760 | +$809 | +$837 | +$804 |
| $463 (-10%) | +$636 | +$732 | +$858 | +$901 |
| $490 (-5%) โ target | +$363 | +$454 | +$614 | +$1,388 |
| $504 (-2%) | +$185 | +$246 | +$350 | +$541 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | +$41 | +$72 | +$115 | +$47 |
| $524 (+2%) | -$105 | -$104 | -$123 | -$326 |
| $540 (+5%) | -$313 | -$354 | -$442 | -$691 |
| $565 (+10%) | -$605 | -$679 | -$795 | -$953 |
| $591 (+15%) | -$804 | -$873 | -$954 | -$1,018 |
| $617 (+20%) | -$922 | -$969 | -$1,010 | -$1,030 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.