Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.1% โ LOW
(-35.5% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $580 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $510 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.1 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $580 by Aug 21: the long call returns +$4,690 (203.0%) on $2,310 risked, vs +$6,611 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $51,389. Options give 15.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $580. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $580 by Aug 21
+$4,690
+203.0% on $2,310 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,310
Premium paid
Break-even
$533.10
+3.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.77 / -17.92 / 84.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | -$2,279 | -$2,304 | -$2,310 | -$2,310 |
| $437 (-15%) | -$2,166 | -$2,260 | -$2,306 | -$2,310 |
| $463 (-10%) | -$1,829 | -$2,056 | -$2,248 | -$2,310 |
| $488 (-5%) | -$1,100 | -$1,469 | -$1,896 | -$2,310 |
| $504 (-2%) | -$423 | -$843 | -$1,365 | -$2,310 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | +$134 | -$298 | -$838 | -$1,921 |
| $524 (+2%) | +$771 | +$345 | -$174 | -$893 |
| $540 (+5%) | +$1,863 | +$1,472 | +$1,035 | +$648 |
| $565 (+10%) | +$3,975 | +$3,676 | +$3,400 | +$3,218 |
| $580 (+13%) โ target | +$5,301 | +$5,053 | +$4,842 | +$4,690 |
| $591 (+15%) | +$6,327 | +$6,110 | +$5,930 | +$5,787 |
| $617 (+20%) | +$8,807 | +$8,639 | +$8,496 | +$8,357 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.