Target Price Playground
LIN
$512.15
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.3% โ LOW
(-35.0% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $450 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $510 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.28 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $450 by Aug 21: the long put returns +$4,272 (247.2%) on $1,728 risked, vs $-6,215 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $51,215. Options give 20.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $450. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $450 by Aug 21
+$4,272
+247.2% on $1,728 risked
Max Profit
+$49,272
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,728
Premium paid
Break-even
$492.72
-3.79% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
22%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.2 / -12.72 / 84.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $410 (-20%) | +$7,927 | +$8,035 | +$8,162 | +$8,300 |
| $435 (-15%) | +$5,472 | +$5,515 | +$5,604 | +$5,739 |
| $450 (-12%) โ target | +$4,150 | +$4,125 | +$4,152 | +$4,272 |
| $461 (-10%) | +$3,228 | +$3,141 | +$3,093 | +$3,178 |
| $487 (-5%) | +$1,366 | +$1,135 | +$854 | +$618 |
| $502 (-2%) | +$484 | +$198 | -$186 | -$919 |
| $512 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$300 | -$708 | -$1,728 |
| $522 (+2%) | -$403 | -$700 | -$1,093 | -$1,728 |
| $538 (+5%) | -$869 | -$1,134 | -$1,451 | -$1,728 |
| $563 (+10%) | -$1,348 | -$1,523 | -$1,678 | -$1,728 |
| $589 (+15%) | -$1,578 | -$1,669 | -$1,722 | -$1,728 |
| $615 (+20%) | -$1,675 | -$1,714 | -$1,727 | -$1,728 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.