Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.1% โ LOW
(-35.5% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $580 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $513.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $580 by Aug 21: the long stock returns +$6,611 (12.9%) on $51,389 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Aug 21.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $580 by Aug 21
+$6,611
+12.9% on $51,389 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$51,389
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$513.89
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 18 | Aug 17 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | -$10,278 | -$10,278 | -$10,278 |
| $437 (-15%) | -$7,708 | -$7,708 | -$7,708 |
| $463 (-10%) | -$5,139 | -$5,139 | -$5,139 |
| $488 (-5%) | -$2,569 | -$2,569 | -$2,569 |
| $504 (-2%) | -$1,028 | -$1,028 | -$1,028 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $524 (+2%) | +$1,028 | +$1,028 | +$1,028 |
| $540 (+5%) | +$2,569 | +$2,569 | +$2,569 |
| $565 (+10%) | +$5,139 | +$5,139 | +$5,139 |
| $580 (+13%) โ target | +$6,611 | +$6,611 | +$6,611 |
| $591 (+15%) | +$7,708 | +$7,708 | +$7,708 |
| $617 (+20%) | +$10,278 | +$10,278 | +$10,278 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.