Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.1% โ LOW
(-35.5% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $570 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $513.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $490 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.98 ยท ฮ -0.27
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $570 by Aug 21: the protective put returns +$4,713 (9.0%) on $52,287 risked, vs +$5,611 (10.9%) for 100 shares on $51,389. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $570. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $570 by Aug 21
+$4,713
+9.0% on $52,287 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$3,287
Put floors you at $490
Break-even
$522.87
+1.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
27%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
72.81 / -11.43 / 71.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | -$3,588 | -$3,522 | -$3,419 | -$3,287 |
| $437 (-15%) | -$3,342 | -$3,390 | -$3,392 | -$3,287 |
| $463 (-10%) | -$2,740 | -$2,937 | -$3,162 | -$3,287 |
| $488 (-5%) | -$1,634 | -$1,919 | -$2,306 | -$3,287 |
| $504 (-2%) | -$712 | -$996 | -$1,367 | -$1,926 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$262 | -$583 | -$898 |
| $524 (+2%) | +$782 | +$551 | +$295 | +$130 |
| $540 (+5%) | +$2,059 | +$1,884 | +$1,726 | +$1,671 |
| $570 (+11%) โ target | +$4,835 | +$4,758 | +$4,717 | +$4,713 |
| $591 (+15%) | +$6,860 | +$6,823 | +$6,810 | +$6,810 |
| $617 (+20%) | +$9,395 | +$9,383 | +$9,380 | +$9,380 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.