Target Price Playground
LIN
$513.89
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.1% โ LOW
(-35.5% vs 30d avg of 35.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $590 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $510 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.1 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $510 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.54 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $590 by Aug 21: the long straddle returns +$4,036 (101.8%) on $3,964 risked, vs +$7,611 (14.8%) for 100 shares on $51,389. Options give 6.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $590. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $590 by Aug 21
+$4,036
+101.8% on $3,964 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$3,964
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$549.64
+6.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
14%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.91 / -30.68 / 168.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $411 (-20%) | +$5,585 | +$5,667 | +$5,787 | +$5,925 |
| $437 (-15%) | +$3,243 | +$3,186 | +$3,225 | +$3,355 |
| $463 (-10%) | +$1,347 | +$1,024 | +$771 | +$786 |
| $488 (-5%) | +$235 | -$372 | -$1,094 | -$1,784 |
| $504 (-2%) | +$49 | -$661 | -$1,573 | -$3,325 |
| $514 (0%) โ spot | +$134 | -$599 | -$1,546 | -$3,575 |
| $524 (+2%) | +$380 | -$341 | -$1,246 | -$2,547 |
| $540 (+5%) | +$1,022 | +$372 | -$370 | -$1,006 |
| $565 (+10%) | +$2,677 | +$2,210 | +$1,789 | +$1,564 |
| $590 (+15%) โ target | +$4,726 | +$4,418 | +$4,185 | +$4,036 |
| $617 (+20%) | +$7,202 | +$6,998 | +$6,842 | +$6,703 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.