Target Price Playground
MU
$1,133.99
๐ข
MU IV: 88.3% โ LOW
(-23.0% vs 30d avg of 114.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1270 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1130 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $200.59 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If MU hits $1270 by Aug 21: the long call returns $-6,059 (-30.2%) on $20,059 risked, vs +$13,601 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $113,399. Options give 2.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MU is at $1270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if MU hits $1270 by Aug 21
$-6,059
-30.2% on $20,059 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$20,059
Premium paid
Break-even
$1330.59
+17.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.8 / -153.8 / 183.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| MU Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $907 (-20%) | -$13,515 | -$15,745 | -$18,229 | -$20,059 |
| $964 (-15%) | -$11,356 | -$13,899 | -$16,938 | -$20,059 |
| $1021 (-10%) | -$8,846 | -$11,643 | -$15,141 | -$20,059 |
| $1077 (-5%) | -$5,999 | -$8,980 | -$12,803 | -$20,059 |
| $1111 (-2%) | -$4,136 | -$7,192 | -$11,139 | -$20,059 |
| $1134 (0%) โ spot | -$2,832 | -$5,925 | -$9,922 | -$19,660 |
| $1157 (+2%) | -$1,480 | -$4,599 | -$8,624 | -$17,392 |
| $1191 (+5%) | +$633 | -$2,505 | -$6,528 | -$13,990 |
| $1247 (+10%) | +$4,372 | +$1,249 | -$2,670 | -$8,320 |
| $1270 (+12%) โ target | +$5,933 | +$2,832 | -$1,016 | -$6,059 |
| $1304 (+15%) | +$8,359 | +$5,303 | +$1,589 | -$2,650 |
| $1361 (+20%) | +$12,568 | +$9,620 | +$6,181 | +$3,020 |
Uses MU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.