Target Price Playground
NVDA
$210.96
๐ข
NVDA IV: 42.0% โ LOW
(-32.7% vs 30d avg of 62.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $210 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.75 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If NVDA hits $235 by Sep 18: the long call returns +$825 (49.3%) on $1,675 risked, vs +$2,404 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $21,096. Options give 4.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if NVDA is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if NVDA hits $235 by Sep 18
+$825
+49.3% on $1,675 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,675
Premium paid
Break-even
$226.75
+7.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.49 / -12.59 / 36.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| NVDA Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $169 (-20%) | -$1,468 | -$1,579 | -$1,660 | -$1,675 |
| $179 (-15%) | -$1,273 | -$1,445 | -$1,611 | -$1,675 |
| $190 (-10%) | -$974 | -$1,205 | -$1,475 | -$1,675 |
| $200 (-5%) | -$558 | -$833 | -$1,190 | -$1,675 |
| $207 (-2%) | -$251 | -$541 | -$927 | -$1,675 |
| $211 (0%) โ spot | -$22 | -$317 | -$711 | -$1,579 |
| $215 (+2%) | +$226 | -$71 | -$464 | -$1,157 |
| $222 (+5%) | +$629 | +$337 | -$38 | -$524 |
| $232 (+10%) | +$1,380 | +$1,112 | +$794 | +$531 |
| $235 (+11%) โ target | +$1,605 | +$1,346 | +$1,047 | +$825 |
| $243 (+15%) | +$2,214 | +$1,980 | +$1,732 | +$1,585 |
| $253 (+20%) | +$3,113 | +$2,917 | +$2,734 | +$2,640 |
Uses NVDA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.