Target Price Playground
PLTR
$192.07
🟢
PLTR IV: 53.5% — LOW
(-15.4% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $215 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $190 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $19.5 · Δ 0.58
SHORT CALL · $205 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $13.8 · Δ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $215 by Dec 18: the bull call spread returns +$930 (163.2%) on $570 risked, vs +$2,293 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $19,207. Options give 13.7× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $215. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $215 by Dec 18
+$930
+163.2% on $570 risked
Max Profit
+$930
If the stock ≥ $205 at expiry
Max Loss
−$570
Net debit
Break-even
$195.70
+1.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
12.75 / 0.61 / -0.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$376 | -$436 | -$521 | -$570 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$285 | -$345 | -$450 | -$570 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$180 | -$229 | -$332 | -$570 |
| $182 (-5%) | -$63 | -$93 | -$165 | -$570 |
| $188 (-2%) | +$9 | -$6 | -$48 | -$570 |
| $192 (0%) ← spot | +$57 | +$53 | +$33 | -$363 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$105 | +$112 | +$116 | +$21 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$177 | +$199 | +$240 | +$597 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$291 | +$338 | +$430 | +$930 |
| $215 (+12%) ← target | +$332 | +$388 | +$496 | +$930 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$395 | +$462 | +$588 | +$930 |
| $230 (+20%) | +$489 | +$569 | +$708 | +$930 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.