Target Price Playground
PLTR
$126.79
๐ก
PLTR IV: 57.2% โ NORMAL
(-14.4% vs 30d avg of 66.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.85 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $140 by Sep 18: the long call returns +$115 (8.3%) on $1,385 risked, vs +$1,321 (10.4%) for 100 shares on $12,679. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $140 by Sep 18
+$115
+8.3% on $1,385 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,385
Premium paid
Break-even
$138.85
+9.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.18 / -9.79 / 21.54
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $101 (-20%) | -$1,016 | -$1,164 | -$1,317 | -$1,385 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$825 | -$1,010 | -$1,227 | -$1,385 |
| $114 (-10%) | -$581 | -$797 | -$1,071 | -$1,385 |
| $120 (-5%) | -$285 | -$521 | -$835 | -$1,385 |
| $124 (-2%) | -$83 | -$326 | -$652 | -$1,385 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$62 | -$183 | -$513 | -$1,206 |
| $129 (+2%) | +$215 | -$32 | -$361 | -$952 |
| $133 (+5%) | +$457 | +$212 | -$110 | -$572 |
| $140 (+10%) โ target | +$932 | +$697 | +$406 | +$115 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$1,368 | +$1,148 | +$891 | +$696 |
| $152 (+20%) | +$1,874 | +$1,673 | +$1,457 | +$1,330 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.