Target Price Playground
PLTR
$126.79
๐ก
PLTR IV: 57.2% โ NORMAL
(-14.4% vs 30d avg of 66.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $126.79 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $140 by Sep 18: the long stock returns +$1,321 (10.4%) on $12,679 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Sep 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $140 by Sep 18
+$1,321
+10.4% on $12,679 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$12,679
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$126.79
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Aug 11 | Sep 10 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $101 (-20%) | -$2,536 | -$2,536 | -$2,536 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$1,902 | -$1,902 | -$1,902 |
| $114 (-10%) | -$1,268 | -$1,268 | -$1,268 |
| $120 (-5%) | -$634 | -$634 | -$634 |
| $124 (-2%) | -$254 | -$254 | -$254 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $129 (+2%) | +$254 | +$254 | +$254 |
| $133 (+5%) | +$634 | +$634 | +$634 |
| $140 (+10%) โ target | +$1,321 | +$1,321 | +$1,321 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$1,902 | +$1,902 | +$1,902 |
| $152 (+20%) | +$2,536 | +$2,536 | +$2,536 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.