Target Price Playground
PLTR
$126.79
๐ก
PLTR IV: 57.2% โ NORMAL
(-14.4% vs 30d avg of 66.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $140 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $126.79 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $120 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.95 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $140 by Sep 18: the protective put returns +$426 (3.1%) on $13,574 risked, vs +$1,321 (10.4%) for 100 shares on $12,679. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $140. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $140 by Sep 18
+$426
+3.1% on $13,574 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,574
Put floors you at $120
Break-even
$135.74
+7.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.2 / -8.02 / 21.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $101 (-20%) | -$1,203 | -$1,337 | -$1,491 | -$1,574 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$976 | -$1,143 | -$1,358 | -$1,574 |
| $114 (-10%) | -$694 | -$884 | -$1,145 | -$1,574 |
| $120 (-5%) | -$358 | -$561 | -$842 | -$1,529 |
| $124 (-2%) | -$133 | -$337 | -$619 | -$1,149 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$28 | -$176 | -$453 | -$895 |
| $129 (+2%) | +$195 | -$6 | -$275 | -$641 |
| $133 (+5%) | +$459 | +$263 | +$11 | -$261 |
| $140 (+10%) โ target | +$970 | +$792 | +$579 | +$426 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$1,433 | +$1,273 | +$1,097 | +$1,007 |
| $152 (+20%) | +$1,965 | +$1,826 | +$1,690 | +$1,641 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.