Target Price Playground
PLTR
$126.79
๐ก
PLTR IV: 57.2% โ NORMAL
(-14.4% vs 30d avg of 66.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.55 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $110 by Sep 18: the long put returns +$345 (29.9%) on $1,155 risked, vs $-1,679 (-13.2%) for 100 shares on $12,679. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $110 by Sep 18
+$345
+29.9% on $1,155 risked
Max Profit
+$11,345
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,155
Premium paid
Break-even
$113.45
-10.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.16 / -8.42 / 21.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $101 (-20%) | +$1,467 | +$1,352 | +$1,235 | +$1,202 |
| $108 (-15%) | +$1,024 | +$872 | +$691 | +$568 |
| $110 (-13%) โ target | +$881 | +$717 | +$514 | +$345 |
| $114 (-10%) | +$634 | +$452 | +$212 | -$66 |
| $120 (-5%) | +$296 | +$93 | -$186 | -$700 |
| $124 (-2%) | +$118 | -$91 | -$383 | -$1,080 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$9 | -$203 | -$497 | -$1,155 |
| $129 (+2%) | -$93 | -$305 | -$599 | -$1,155 |
| $133 (+5%) | -$231 | -$442 | -$728 | -$1,155 |
| $139 (+10%) | -$428 | -$630 | -$889 | -$1,155 |
| $146 (+15%) | -$588 | -$774 | -$996 | -$1,155 |
| $152 (+20%) | -$716 | -$882 | -$1,063 | -$1,155 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.