Target Price Playground
PLTR
$126.79
๐ก
PLTR IV: 57.2% โ NORMAL
(-14.4% vs 30d avg of 66.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
68d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.85 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.55 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $145 by Sep 18: the long straddle returns $-540 (-21.3%) on $2,540 risked, vs +$1,821 (14.4%) for 100 shares on $12,679. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (68 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $145 by Sep 18
$-540
-21.3% on $2,540 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,540
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$150.40
+18.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 68d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.03 / -18.21 / 43.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $101 (-20%) | +$451 | +$188 | -$82 | -$183 |
| $108 (-15%) | +$200 | -$138 | -$537 | -$817 |
| $114 (-10%) | +$52 | -$345 | -$859 | -$1,451 |
| $120 (-5%) | +$11 | -$427 | -$1,021 | -$2,085 |
| $124 (-2%) | +$35 | -$417 | -$1,035 | -$2,465 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$71 | -$386 | -$1,010 | -$2,361 |
| $129 (+2%) | +$122 | -$337 | -$960 | -$2,107 |
| $133 (+5%) | +$226 | -$230 | -$837 | -$1,727 |
| $139 (+10%) | +$466 | +$28 | -$526 | -$1,093 |
| $145 (+14%) โ target | +$736 | +$326 | -$164 | -$540 |
| $152 (+20%) | +$1,158 | +$791 | +$394 | +$175 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.