Target Price Playground
PLTR
$126.79
๐ก
PLTR IV: 57.2% โ NORMAL
(-14.4% vs 30d avg of 66.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $135 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
69d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $126.79 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $135 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.8 ยท ฮ 0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $135 by Sep 18: the covered call returns +$1,801 (15.4%) on $11,699 risked, vs +$821 (6.5%) for 100 shares on $12,679. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (69 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $135. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $135 by Sep 18
+$1,801
+15.4% on $11,699 risked
Max Profit
+$1,801
If the stock โฅ $135 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$11,699
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$116.99
-7.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 69d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.94 / 9.6 / -22.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $101 (-20%) | -$1,784 | -$1,668 | -$1,577 | -$1,556 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$1,283 | -$1,127 | -$980 | -$922 |
| $114 (-10%) | -$826 | -$631 | -$419 | -$288 |
| $120 (-5%) | -$418 | -$188 | +$86 | +$346 |
| $124 (-2%) | -$196 | +$51 | +$355 | +$726 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | -$57 | +$199 | +$521 | +$980 |
| $129 (+2%) | +$73 | +$337 | +$673 | +$1,234 |
| $133 (+5%) | +$255 | +$527 | +$877 | +$1,614 |
| $135 (+6%) โ target | +$338 | +$613 | +$967 | +$1,801 |
| $139 (+10%) | +$522 | +$799 | +$1,155 | +$1,801 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$747 | +$1,020 | +$1,360 | +$1,801 |
| $152 (+20%) | +$934 | +$1,196 | +$1,506 | +$1,801 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.