Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1410 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $1600 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $214.35 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $1470 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $146.54 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1410 by Oct 16: the bear put spread returns +$6,219 (91.7%) on $6,781 risked, vs $-19,062 (-11.9%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 7.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1410 by Oct 16
+$6,219
+91.7% on $6,781 risked
Max Profit
+$6,219
If the stock โค $1470 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$6,781
Net debit
Break-even
$1532.19
-4.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.12 / -9.72 / 18.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | +$2,906 | +$3,263 | +$4,074 | +$6,219 |
| $1361 (-15%) | +$2,147 | +$2,378 | +$2,980 | +$6,219 |
| $1410 (-12%) โ target | +$1,666 | +$1,803 | +$2,216 | +$6,219 |
| $1441 (-10%) | +$1,367 | +$1,443 | +$1,721 | +$6,219 |
| $1521 (-5%) | +$589 | +$497 | +$391 | +$1,160 |
| $1569 (-2%) | +$130 | -$63 | -$401 | -$3,642 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | -$170 | -$428 | -$916 | -$6,781 |
| $1633 (+2%) | -$465 | -$786 | -$1,415 | -$6,781 |
| $1681 (+5%) | -$896 | -$1,305 | -$2,125 | -$6,781 |
| $1761 (+10%) | -$1,577 | -$2,115 | -$3,184 | -$6,781 |
| $1841 (+15%) | -$2,207 | -$2,846 | -$4,072 | -$6,781 |
| $1921 (+20%) | -$2,784 | -$3,494 | -$4,788 | -$6,781 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.