Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ŸŸข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ€” LOW (-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $1520 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

56d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

LONG PUT ยท $1600 ยท Nov '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $288.5 ยท ฮ” -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $1520 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $177.8 ยท ฮ” -0.38
P&L at Expiry Now $1601 Target $1520 $1120 $1601 $2081
Stock (100 sh) Diagonal Put Spread Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If SNDK hits $1520 by Oct 16: the diagonal put spread returns +$9,800 (88.5%) on $11,070 risked, vs $-8,062 (-5.0%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 17.7ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1520. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if SNDK hits $1520 by Oct 16
+$9,800
+88.5% on $11,070 risked
Max Profit
+$9,635
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โˆ’$6,731
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$1761.56
+10.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
-3.48 / 26.91 / 69.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

SNDK Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$1281 (-20%) -$970 -$296 +$709 +$891
$1361 (-15%) -$895 -$86 +$1,302 +$3,218
$1441 (-10%) -$935 -$51 +$1,582 +$6,167
$1520 (-5%) โ† target -$1,083 -$187 +$1,517 +$9,718
$1569 (-2%) -$1,223 -$348 +$1,313 +$7,331
$1601 (0%) โ† spot -$1,333 -$484 +$1,116 +$5,879
$1633 (+2%) -$1,457 -$641 +$875 +$4,520
$1681 (+5%) -$1,666 -$913 +$439 +$2,647
$1761 (+10%) -$2,067 -$1,448 -$440 -$58
$1841 (+15%) -$2,518 -$2,059 -$1,443 -$2,294
$1921 (+20%) -$3,005 -$2,717 -$2,497 -$4,123
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.