Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1790 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1600 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $209.42 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1790 by Oct 16: the long call returns $-1,942 (-9.3%) on $20,942 risked, vs +$18,938 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1790. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1790 by Oct 16
$-1,942
-9.3% on $20,942 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$20,942
Premium paid
Break-even
$1809.42
+13.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.12 / -195.99 / 245.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | -$13,046 | -$15,806 | -$18,965 | -$20,942 |
| $1361 (-15%) | -$10,182 | -$13,384 | -$17,362 | -$20,942 |
| $1441 (-10%) | -$6,794 | -$10,356 | -$15,030 | -$20,942 |
| $1521 (-5%) | -$2,897 | -$6,719 | -$11,891 | -$20,942 |
| $1569 (-2%) | -$324 | -$4,253 | -$9,612 | -$20,942 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | +$1,486 | -$2,493 | -$7,929 | -$20,880 |
| $1633 (+2%) | +$3,368 | -$646 | -$6,121 | -$17,679 |
| $1681 (+5%) | +$6,323 | +$2,286 | -$3,182 | -$12,877 |
| $1761 (+10%) | +$11,576 | +$7,572 | +$2,274 | -$4,874 |
| $1790 (+12%) โ target | +$13,597 | +$9,624 | +$4,430 | -$1,942 |
| $1841 (+15%) | +$17,206 | +$13,309 | +$8,336 | +$3,129 |
| $1921 (+20%) | +$23,172 | +$19,441 | +$14,897 | +$11,132 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.