Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1410 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $1600 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $214.35 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1410 by Oct 16: the long put returns $-2,435 (-11.4%) on $21,435 risked, vs $-19,062 (-11.9%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 1.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1410 by Oct 16
$-2,435
-11.4% on $21,435 risked
Max Profit
+$138,565
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$21,435
Premium paid
Break-even
$1385.65
-13.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.14 / -180.01 / 245.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | +$17,310 | +$14,903 | +$12,118 | +$10,515 |
| $1361 (-15%) | +$12,171 | +$9,323 | +$5,718 | +$2,512 |
| $1410 (-12%) โ target | +$9,257 | +$6,175 | +$2,120 | -$2,435 |
| $1441 (-10%) | +$7,556 | +$4,347 | +$47 | -$5,491 |
| $1521 (-5%) | +$3,450 | -$19 | -$4,818 | -$13,494 |
| $1569 (-2%) | +$1,222 | -$2,354 | -$7,340 | -$18,296 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | -$170 | -$3,796 | -$8,859 | -$21,435 |
| $1633 (+2%) | -$1,489 | -$5,149 | -$10,252 | -$21,435 |
| $1681 (+5%) | -$3,336 | -$7,020 | -$12,114 | -$21,435 |
| $1761 (+10%) | -$6,086 | -$9,737 | -$14,662 | -$21,435 |
| $1841 (+15%) | -$8,459 | -$12,003 | -$16,602 | -$21,435 |
| $1921 (+20%) | -$10,495 | -$13,874 | -$18,045 | -$21,435 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.