Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1790 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $1600.62 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1790 by Oct 16: the long stock returns +$18,938 (11.8%) on $160,062 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Oct 16.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1790 by Oct 16
+$18,938
+11.8% on $160,062 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$160,062
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$1600.62
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 20 | Oct 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | -$32,012 | -$32,012 | -$32,012 |
| $1361 (-15%) | -$24,009 | -$24,009 | -$24,009 |
| $1441 (-10%) | -$16,006 | -$16,006 | -$16,006 |
| $1521 (-5%) | -$8,003 | -$8,003 | -$8,003 |
| $1569 (-2%) | -$3,201 | -$3,201 | -$3,201 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $1633 (+2%) | +$3,201 | +$3,201 | +$3,201 |
| $1681 (+5%) | +$8,003 | +$8,003 | +$8,003 |
| $1761 (+10%) | +$16,006 | +$16,006 | +$16,006 |
| $1790 (+12%) โ target | +$18,938 | +$18,938 | +$18,938 |
| $1841 (+15%) | +$24,009 | +$24,009 | +$24,009 |
| $1921 (+20%) | +$32,012 | +$32,012 | +$32,012 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.