Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1760 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $1600.62 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $1520 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $177.8 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1760 by Oct 16: the protective put returns $-1,842 (-1.0%) on $177,842 risked, vs +$15,938 (10.0%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1760. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1760 by Oct 16
$-1,842
-1.0% on $177,842 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$25,842
Put floors you at $1520
Break-even
$1778.42
+11.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
61.82 / -171.18 / 238.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | -$17,128 | -$19,773 | -$23,081 | -$25,842 |
| $1361 (-15%) | -$13,809 | -$16,826 | -$20,850 | -$25,842 |
| $1441 (-10%) | -$9,952 | -$13,237 | -$17,776 | -$25,842 |
| $1521 (-5%) | -$5,581 | -$9,026 | -$13,836 | -$25,783 |
| $1569 (-2%) | -$2,727 | -$6,217 | -$11,070 | -$20,981 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | -$733 | -$4,233 | -$9,069 | -$17,780 |
| $1633 (+2%) | +$1,331 | -$2,164 | -$6,949 | -$14,579 |
| $1681 (+5%) | +$4,551 | +$1,090 | -$3,562 | -$9,777 |
| $1760 (+10%) โ target | +$10,178 | +$6,831 | +$2,518 | -$1,842 |
| $1841 (+15%) | +$16,251 | +$13,080 | +$9,212 | +$6,229 |
| $1921 (+20%) | +$22,580 | +$19,625 | +$16,246 | +$14,232 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.