Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1840 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1600 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $209.42 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $1600 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $214.35 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1840 by Oct 16: the long straddle returns $-18,377 (-43.4%) on $42,377 risked, vs +$23,938 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1840. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1840 by Oct 16
$-18,377
-43.4% on $42,377 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$42,377
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$2023.77
+26.44% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.98 / -375.99 / 490.26
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | +$4,263 | -$904 | -$6,847 | -$10,427 |
| $1361 (-15%) | +$1,990 | -$4,061 | -$11,645 | -$18,430 |
| $1441 (-10%) | +$761 | -$6,008 | -$14,983 | -$26,433 |
| $1521 (-5%) | +$553 | -$6,739 | -$16,709 | -$34,436 |
| $1569 (-2%) | +$898 | -$6,607 | -$16,952 | -$39,238 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | +$1,316 | -$6,290 | -$16,788 | -$42,315 |
| $1633 (+2%) | +$1,880 | -$5,795 | -$16,373 | -$39,114 |
| $1681 (+5%) | +$2,987 | -$4,733 | -$15,296 | -$34,312 |
| $1761 (+10%) | +$5,490 | -$2,166 | -$12,388 | -$26,309 |
| $1840 (+15%) โ target | +$8,715 | +$1,271 | -$8,307 | -$18,377 |
| $1921 (+20%) | +$12,677 | +$5,566 | -$3,148 | -$10,303 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.