Target Price Playground
SNDK
$1,600.62
๐ข
SNDK IV: 87.4% โ LOW
(-28.1% vs 30d avg of 121.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1730 by Oct 16
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
56d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $1600.62 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $1730 ยท Oct '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $173.24 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $1730 by Oct 16: the covered call returns +$30,262 (21.2%) on $142,738 risked, vs +$12,938 (8.1%) for 100 shares on $160,062. Options give 2.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Oct 16, 2026 (56 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $1730. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $1730 by Oct 16
+$30,262
+21.2% on $142,738 risked
Max Profit
+$30,262
If the stock โฅ $1730 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$142,738
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$1427.38
-10.82% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
81%
IV-implied, 56d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
51.31 / 204.06 / -249.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Sep 8 | Sep 27 | Oct 16 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1281 (-20%) | -$20,245 | -$17,909 | -$15,590 | -$14,688 |
| $1361 (-15%) | -$14,463 | -$11,623 | -$8,465 | -$6,685 |
| $1441 (-10%) | -$9,160 | -$5,857 | -$1,858 | +$1,318 |
| $1521 (-5%) | -$4,341 | -$644 | +$4,111 | +$9,321 |
| $1569 (-2%) | -$1,680 | +$2,213 | +$7,348 | +$14,123 |
| $1601 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$4,005 | +$9,356 | +$17,324 |
| $1633 (+2%) | +$1,605 | +$5,707 | +$11,242 | +$20,525 |
| $1681 (+5%) | +$3,878 | +$8,097 | +$13,841 | +$25,327 |
| $1730 (+8%) โ target | +$6,050 | +$10,352 | +$16,229 | +$30,262 |
| $1761 (+10%) | +$7,320 | +$11,656 | +$17,573 | +$30,262 |
| $1841 (+15%) | +$10,353 | +$14,717 | +$20,599 | +$30,262 |
| $1921 (+20%) | +$13,010 | +$17,323 | +$22,994 | +$30,262 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.