Target Price Playground
SNDK
$2,185.20
๐ก
SNDK IV: 106.6% โ NORMAL
(-12.0% vs 30d avg of 121.1%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $2360 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $2185.2 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $2360 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $308.3 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If SNDK hits $2360 by Aug 21: the covered call returns +$48,310 (25.7%) on $187,690 risked, vs +$17,480 (8.0%) for 100 shares on $218,520. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if SNDK is at $2360. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if SNDK hits $2360 by Aug 21
+$48,310
+25.7% on $187,690 risked
Max Profit
+$48,310
If the stock โฅ $2360 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$187,690
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$1876.90
-14.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
86%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
47.24 / 329.05 / -364.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| SNDK Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1748 (-20%) | -$26,574 | -$21,583 | -$16,230 | -$12,874 |
| $1857 (-15%) | -$19,561 | -$13,877 | -$7,351 | -$1,948 |
| $1967 (-10%) | -$13,097 | -$6,802 | +$805 | +$8,978 |
| $2076 (-5%) | -$7,168 | -$359 | +$8,170 | +$19,904 |
| $2142 (-2%) | -$3,859 | +$3,209 | +$12,195 | +$26,460 |
| $2185 (0%) โ spot | -$1,753 | +$5,465 | +$14,712 | +$30,830 |
| $2229 (+2%) | +$275 | +$7,626 | +$17,098 | +$35,200 |
| $2294 (+5%) | +$3,175 | +$10,693 | +$20,433 | +$41,756 |
| $2360 (+8%) โ target | +$5,909 | +$13,557 | +$23,482 | +$48,310 |
| $2404 (+10%) | +$7,644 | +$15,358 | +$25,362 | +$48,310 |
| $2513 (+15%) | +$11,687 | +$19,497 | +$29,551 | +$48,310 |
| $2622 (+20%) | +$15,334 | +$23,152 | +$33,066 | +$48,310 |
Uses SNDK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.