Target Price Playground
STX
$1,070.23
๐ข
STX IV: 86.0% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 126.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1200 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1070 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $166.94 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $1160 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $136.1 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $1200 by Aug 21: the bull call spread returns +$5,916 (191.8%) on $3,084 risked, vs +$12,977 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $107,023. Options give 15.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if STX is at $1200. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $1200 by Aug 21
+$5,916
+191.8% on $3,084 risked
Max Profit
+$5,916
If the stock โฅ $1160 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$3,084
Net debit
Break-even
$1100.84
+2.86% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.39 / -2.98 / -7.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $856 (-20%) | -$1,377 | -$1,661 | -$2,217 | -$3,084 |
| $910 (-15%) | -$952 | -$1,188 | -$1,712 | -$3,084 |
| $963 (-10%) | -$505 | -$667 | -$1,085 | -$3,084 |
| $1017 (-5%) | -$45 | -$116 | -$365 | -$3,084 |
| $1049 (-2%) | +$234 | +$221 | +$95 | -$3,084 |
| $1070 (0%) โ spot | +$418 | +$447 | +$408 | -$3,061 |
| $1092 (+2%) | +$602 | +$673 | +$723 | -$921 |
| $1124 (+5%) | +$875 | +$1,008 | +$1,193 | +$2,290 |
| $1177 (+10%) | +$1,319 | +$1,551 | +$1,952 | +$5,916 |
| $1200 (+12%) โ target | +$1,503 | +$1,775 | +$2,259 | +$5,916 |
| $1231 (+15%) | +$1,744 | +$2,068 | +$2,654 | +$5,916 |
| $1284 (+20%) | +$2,147 | +$2,549 | +$3,282 | +$5,916 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.