Target Price Playground
STX
$1,070.23
๐ข
STX IV: 85.8% โ LOW
(-32.3% vs 30d avg of 126.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1200 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $1070 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $173.5 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $1200 by Aug 21: the long call returns $-4,350 (-25.1%) on $17,350 risked, vs +$12,977 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $107,023. Options give 2.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if STX is at $1200. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $1200 by Aug 21
$-4,350
-25.1% on $17,350 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$17,350
Premium paid
Break-even
$1243.50
+16.19% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.38 / -135.42 / 173.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $856 (-20%) | -$11,218 | -$13,321 | -$15,655 | -$17,350 |
| $910 (-15%) | -$9,193 | -$11,595 | -$14,456 | -$17,350 |
| $963 (-10%) | -$6,840 | -$9,484 | -$12,785 | -$17,350 |
| $1017 (-5%) | -$4,170 | -$6,991 | -$10,608 | -$17,350 |
| $1049 (-2%) | -$2,422 | -$5,318 | -$9,055 | -$17,350 |
| $1070 (0%) โ spot | -$1,199 | -$4,131 | -$7,920 | -$17,327 |
| $1092 (+2%) | +$70 | -$2,889 | -$6,707 | -$15,187 |
| $1124 (+5%) | +$2,054 | -$925 | -$4,748 | -$11,976 |
| $1177 (+10%) | +$5,564 | +$2,596 | -$1,137 | -$6,625 |
| $1200 (+12%) โ target | +$7,129 | +$4,181 | +$516 | -$4,350 |
| $1231 (+15%) | +$9,309 | +$6,400 | +$2,853 | -$1,274 |
| $1284 (+20%) | +$13,266 | +$10,456 | +$7,163 | +$4,078 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.