Target Price Playground
STX
$1,070.23
๐ข
STX IV: 86.0% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 126.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $1200 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $1070.23 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If STX hits $1200 by Aug 21: the long stock returns +$12,977 (12.1%) on $107,023 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Aug 21.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if STX hits $1200 by Aug 21
+$12,977
+12.1% on $107,023 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$107,023
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$1070.23
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| STX Price | Today | Jul 18 | Aug 17 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $856 (-20%) | -$21,405 | -$21,405 | -$21,405 |
| $910 (-15%) | -$16,053 | -$16,053 | -$16,053 |
| $963 (-10%) | -$10,702 | -$10,702 | -$10,702 |
| $1017 (-5%) | -$5,351 | -$5,351 | -$5,351 |
| $1049 (-2%) | -$2,140 | -$2,140 | -$2,140 |
| $1070 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $1092 (+2%) | +$2,140 | +$2,140 | +$2,140 |
| $1124 (+5%) | +$5,351 | +$5,351 | +$5,351 |
| $1177 (+10%) | +$10,702 | +$10,702 | +$10,702 |
| $1200 (+12%) โ target | +$12,977 | +$12,977 | +$12,977 |
| $1231 (+15%) | +$16,053 | +$16,053 | +$16,053 |
| $1284 (+20%) | +$21,405 | +$21,405 | +$21,405 |
Uses STX's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.