Target Price Playground
WDC
$746.23
๐ข
WDC IV: 90.1% โ LOW
(-22.3% vs 30d avg of 116.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $840 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $750 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $127.5 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $810 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $105.23 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $840 by Aug 21: the bull call spread returns +$3,773 (169.4%) on $2,227 risked, vs +$9,377 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $74,623. Options give 13.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $840. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $840 by Aug 21
+$3,773
+169.4% on $2,227 risked
Max Profit
+$3,773
If the stock โฅ $810 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,227
Net debit
Break-even
$772.27
+3.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.32 / -0.36 / -5.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $597 (-20%) | -$1,078 | -$1,263 | -$1,630 | -$2,227 |
| $634 (-15%) | -$803 | -$955 | -$1,299 | -$2,227 |
| $672 (-10%) | -$514 | -$618 | -$891 | -$2,227 |
| $709 (-5%) | -$217 | -$263 | -$427 | -$2,227 |
| $731 (-2%) | -$38 | -$45 | -$130 | -$2,227 |
| $746 (0%) โ spot | +$81 | +$100 | +$71 | -$2,227 |
| $761 (+2%) | +$199 | +$245 | +$274 | -$1,112 |
| $784 (+5%) | +$375 | +$461 | +$577 | +$1,127 |
| $821 (+10%) | +$661 | +$812 | +$1,068 | +$3,773 |
| $840 (+13%) โ target | +$804 | +$986 | +$1,308 | +$3,773 |
| $858 (+15%) | +$936 | +$1,147 | +$1,526 | +$3,773 |
| $895 (+20%) | +$1,197 | +$1,460 | +$1,938 | +$3,773 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.