Target Price Playground
WDC
$746.23
๐ข
WDC IV: 89.7% โ LOW
(-22.3% vs 30d avg of 115.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $840 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $750 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $127.95 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $810 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $104.27 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $840 by Aug 21: the bull call spread returns +$3,632 (153.4%) on $2,368 risked, vs +$9,377 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $74,623. Options give 12.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $840. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $840 by Aug 21
+$3,632
+153.4% on $2,368 risked
Max Profit
+$3,632
If the stock โฅ $810 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,368
Net debit
Break-even
$773.68
+3.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.23 / -1.28 / -5.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $597 (-20%) | -$1,211 | -$1,395 | -$1,761 | -$2,368 |
| $634 (-15%) | -$938 | -$1,088 | -$1,429 | -$2,368 |
| $672 (-10%) | -$651 | -$754 | -$1,023 | -$2,368 |
| $709 (-5%) | -$358 | -$401 | -$562 | -$2,368 |
| $731 (-2%) | -$180 | -$186 | -$268 | -$2,368 |
| $746 (0%) โ spot | -$62 | -$42 | -$68 | -$2,368 |
| $761 (+2%) | +$55 | +$102 | +$133 | -$1,253 |
| $784 (+5%) | +$229 | +$316 | +$433 | +$986 |
| $821 (+10%) | +$512 | +$663 | +$919 | +$3,632 |
| $840 (+13%) โ target | +$654 | +$836 | +$1,157 | +$3,632 |
| $858 (+15%) | +$785 | +$995 | +$1,373 | +$3,632 |
| $895 (+20%) | +$1,043 | +$1,305 | +$1,782 | +$3,632 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.