Target Price Playground
WDC
$746.23
๐ข
WDC IV: 90.1% โ LOW
(-22.7% vs 30d avg of 116.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $840 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $750 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $127.5 ยท ฮ 0.59
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $840 by Aug 21: the long call returns $-3,750 (-29.4%) on $12,750 risked, vs +$9,377 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $74,623. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $840. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $840 by Aug 21
$-3,750
-29.4% on $12,750 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$12,750
Premium paid
Break-even
$877.50
+17.59% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.45 / -100.51 / 121.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $597 (-20%) | -$8,309 | -$9,825 | -$11,513 | -$12,750 |
| $634 (-15%) | -$6,887 | -$8,613 | -$10,671 | -$12,750 |
| $672 (-10%) | -$5,244 | -$7,141 | -$9,509 | -$12,750 |
| $709 (-5%) | -$3,386 | -$5,411 | -$8,005 | -$12,750 |
| $731 (-2%) | -$2,172 | -$4,251 | -$6,936 | -$12,750 |
| $746 (0%) โ spot | -$1,323 | -$3,431 | -$6,156 | -$12,750 |
| $761 (+2%) | -$445 | -$2,573 | -$5,323 | -$11,635 |
| $784 (+5%) | +$929 | -$1,217 | -$3,978 | -$9,396 |
| $821 (+10%) | +$3,357 | +$1,211 | -$1,502 | -$5,665 |
| $840 (+13%) โ target | +$4,666 | +$2,534 | -$127 | -$3,750 |
| $858 (+15%) | +$5,945 | +$3,833 | +$1,237 | -$1,934 |
| $895 (+20%) | +$8,677 | +$6,627 | +$4,198 | +$1,798 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.