Why is USO Down Today?

USO
$146.76
▼ -2.17% ($-3.19)
Last updated: Oct 02, 2026 8:38 PM ET (1 min ago)

About United States Oil Fund, LP

Sector: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS
52-Week Range: $65.99 - $163.35

Overall Confidence: 60%

60% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 USO showing strong bearish momentum
USO is down 2.2% today on 1.1x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

MODERATE VOLUME 1.1x average volume

NORMAL - This move is backed by significant volume and appears sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS sector: -0.3%

USO is outperforming its sector by -1.9%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

USO is significantly underperforming the market (-2.9% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.74%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+1.02%
USO
This Stock
-2.17%
vs S&P 500: -2.91%
vs Nasdaq: -3.19%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, USO is expected to trade between:
$142.36 - $149.70

Key Level to Watch

$139.42 support
Watch for breakdown below $146.76

🔔 Get USO Alerts

We'll notify you when USO's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 02, 2026 8:38 PM (1 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bearish
Options Sentiment
3.28
Put/Call Ratio
61.4%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 10,175
Put Volume: 33,373
Total: 43,548
Unusual Activity: $140 PUT (1,785 vol) $90 PUT (1,505 vol)

Historical Context

USO has moved more than 3.0% down on 28 occasions in the past year.

42.9%
Continuation Rate
12/28 times continued down
+0.53%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 29, 2026 (-4.4%) → Next day: +1.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is USO stock down today?

USO is down 2.2% today on 1.1x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is USO stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, USO shows 60% confidence in today's move. Volume is moderate which supports the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the USO stock price target?

USO is currently trading at $146.76. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $142.36 - $149.70. See long-term price prediction →

Will USO stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that USO's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $139.42 (support).

Is USO stock oversold or overbought?

USO's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 52.2. This shows bullish momentum - the stock has positive momentum but isn't overextended yet.

What is the momentum for USO stock?

USO's 10-day momentum indicator is at -6.45. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is USO outperforming or underperforming the market?

USO (-2.17%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.9% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.74%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 1.02%.

What does MACD indicate for USO?

USO's MACD (2.87) is currently below the signal line (4.39), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 24.0) is moderate.

Is USO in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, USO is in a mixed/transitional trend. The price and moving averages are not clearly aligned, suggesting a potential trend change or consolidation phase. 20-day SMA: $150.7, 50-day SMA: $137.37.

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