Amer Sports (AS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AS - Amer Sports, Inc.

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl
$28.55
0.31 (1.10%) ▲
5d: -5.71%
30d: +2.81%
90d: -20.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your AS Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026 20d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 23, 2026 at $28.24 · last confirmed Oct 26, 2026

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.47
19.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AS is currently trading at $28.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.94 to $29.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (31.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 500% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.24 (+65.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $26.94 - $29.22
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 65.5% below Wall St target ($47.24)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.94 - $29.22
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.85
Resistance Level $30.75
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 26, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.33
Wall Street Target $47.24 (+65.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 500.0%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.3 vs 31.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.24 (-8%)
2-Year Target $24.11 (-16%)
3-Year Target $22.16 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→31) $28.51 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.3, Growth: 25.7%) $56.65 (+98%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.7%) $46.24 (+62%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.7%) $39.30 (+38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case $38.37 (+34%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case $34.88 (+22%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case $19.20 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.3 to 31.3
Stabilization Target: $36.73 (+28.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.6%
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Last updated: October 27, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced AS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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