GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares (GDEV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEV - GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
$11.11
-0.08 (-0.72%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.91%
30d:
-2.54%
90d:
-7.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GDEV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GDEV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.65
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.79
37.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $11.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.00 to $11.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.03, while resistance sits at $12.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+530.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.03, while resistance sits at $12.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+530.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.00 -
$11.72
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 530.1% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.00 -
$11.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.03
Resistance Level
$12.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.13
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+530.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 3.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.00
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â4)
$13.67
(+23%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: 13.8%)
$151.08
(+1260%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$16.35
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$13.90
(+25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 2.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.11
Bull Case
$15.60
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 3.0
Base Case
$14.19
(+28%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 2.7
Bear Case
$7.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 3.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.76
(+68.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+68.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 09, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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