INFY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.36
-0.17 (-1.47%)
▼
5d:
+3.84%
30d:
-5.1%
90d:
-21.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INFY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INFY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.46
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.46
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $11.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.70 to $11.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INFY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.44 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INFY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.44 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.70 -
$11.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($13.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.70 -
$11.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.63
Resistance Level
$11.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.10
Wall Street Target
$13.44
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.27
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.55
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$8.88
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$11.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 8.2%)
$22.46
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$14.00
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$11.90
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$12.81
(+11%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$11.64
(+1%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$7.51
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$13.74
(+24.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 17, 2026 11:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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