Infosys (INFY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.07
0.16 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
-8.44%
30d:
-9.85%
90d:
-4.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INFY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INFY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.90
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.11
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $11.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.49 to $12.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INFY scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INFY scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.49 -
$12.42
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.85)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.49 -
$12.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.79
Resistance Level
$12.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.13
Wall Street Target
$11.85
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 15.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.41
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.78
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.19
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$11.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$21.56
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$14.04
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$11.93
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$12.49
(+13%)
Analyst growth 4.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$11.35
(+3%)
Market implied 4.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$7.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.32
(+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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