INFY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$11.50
0.56 (5.12%)
▲
5d:
+5.7%
30d:
-2.21%
90d:
-13.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INFY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INFY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.46
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $11.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.69 to $11.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: INFY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.44 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: INFY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.44 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.69 -
$11.92
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.69 -
$11.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.08
Resistance Level
$13.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.64
Wall Street Target
$13.44
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.83
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.20
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$9.61
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$11.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$23.28
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$14.59
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$12.40
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$12.68
(+10%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$11.53
(+0%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$7.44
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$13.74
(+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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