Infosys (INFY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$13.22
0.47 (3.69%)
β²
5d:
+8.99%
30d:
+22.98%
90d:
+18.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: INFY is 10.4% above its trading range ($11.98). Market expects 0.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: INFY is 10.4% above its trading range ($11.98). Market expects 0.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.44
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $13.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.49 to $11.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: INFY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: INFY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.67. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.49 -
$11.98
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.7% above Wall St target ($11.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.49 -
$11.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.66
Resistance Level
$13.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.69
Wall Street Target
$11.67
(-11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.30
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.38
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$13.46
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16β15)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$21.23
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$16.77
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$14.25
(+8%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$14.59
(+10%)
Analyst growth 4.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$13.27
(+0%)
Market implied 4.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$8.67
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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