Infosys (INFY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares

Services-Computer Programming Services
$11.07
-0.28 (-2.47%) ▼
5d: +5.42%
30d: -7.53%
90d: +1.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INFY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.67
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.97
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $11.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.74 to $11.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.35, while resistance sits at $11.88.

Market Sentiment: INFY scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.74 - $11.81
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.75)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.74 - $11.81
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.35
Resistance Level $11.88
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.47
Wall Street Target $11.75 (+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.3%
Profit Margin 16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 15.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.82 (-5%)
2-Year Target $10.31 (-9%)
3-Year Target $9.82 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→16) $11.38 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.2%) $21.81 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 8.2%) $14.40 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 8.2%) $12.24 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case $12.17 (+7%)
Analyst growth 2.8%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case $11.06 (-3%)
Market implied 2.8%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case $7.32 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 15.6
Stabilization Target: $13.15 (+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.8%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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