INFY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$12.41
0.13 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.4%
30d:
+12.41%
90d:
+4.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INFY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INFY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.12
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $12.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.06 to $12.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INFY scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INFY scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.06 -
$12.37
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.85)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.06 -
$12.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.79
Resistance Level
$12.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.72
Wall Street Target
$11.85
(-4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.72
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.40
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$12.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$21.62
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$15.74
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 8.2%)
$13.38
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$14.41
(+16%)
Analyst growth 6.7%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$13.10
(+6%)
Market implied 6.7%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$8.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.48
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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