MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$87.52
-6.77 (-7.18%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.02%
30d:
+10.74%
90d:
+25.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $93.13 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MNDY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MNDY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$226.21
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.46
37.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $87.52, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.27 to $90.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.22, while resistance sits at $95.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.00 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.22, while resistance sits at $95.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.00 (+24.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$78.27 -
$90.20
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNDY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($109.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.27 -
$90.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.22
Resistance Level
$95.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.10
Wall Street Target
$109.00
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.9%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$70.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$63.80
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â18)
$89.65
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$247.14
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$159.98
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$135.99
(+55%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$207.44
(+137%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.1
Base Case
$188.58
(+116%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$64.12
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$122.97
(+40.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 12:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNDY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.
