Materion (MTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MTRN - Materion Corporation

METAL FORGINGS & STAMPINGS
$227.43
10.59 (4.88%) ▲
5d: -3.48%
30d: -28.75%
90d: -23.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTRN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.99
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.73
1.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $227.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $229.45 to $286.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (26.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $213.79, while resistance sits at $252.81. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+33.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $229.45 - $286.31
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 96.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($303.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $229.45 - $286.31
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $213.79
Resistance Level $252.81
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.97
Wall Street Target $303.75 (+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.1%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 27.0 vs 26.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $228.34 (+0%)
2-Year Target $229.25 (+1%)
3-Year Target $230.17 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→27) PE COMPRESSION $227.03 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.0, Growth: 20.1%) $394.30 (+73%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.1%) $290.37 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.1%) $246.82 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.39
Bull Case $261.83 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case $216.84 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case $165.88 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 03, 2026 4:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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