MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$244.24
3.68 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
+2.73%
30d:
-12.23%
90d:
+10.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.99
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $244.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.79 to $275.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.0) compared to its historical average (25.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.87, while resistance sits at $259.70.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+24.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.87, while resistance sits at $259.70.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 80/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+24.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$218.79 -
$275.36
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (80/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($303.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$218.79 -
$275.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.87
Resistance Level
$259.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.96
Wall Street Target
$303.75
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
29.0 vs 25.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$253.77
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$263.66
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$273.95
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$244.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.0, Growth: 20.1%)
$423.45
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$295.78
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$251.42
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.83
Bull Case
$290.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$240.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case
$184.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 04, 2026 5:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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