Origin Bancorp (OBK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OBK - Origin Bancorp, Inc.
$51.55
-0.28 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.9%
30d:
-3.05%
90d:
-1.88%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When OBK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.50
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OBK is currently trading at $51.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.77 to $53.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OBK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OBK scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.20 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OBK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OBK scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.20 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$51.77 -
$53.64
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($59.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.77 -
$53.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.57
Resistance Level
$53.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.64
Wall Street Target
$59.20
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
132.1%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$52.90
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$53.59
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$110.95
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 8.1%)
$65.03
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 8.1%)
$55.28
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.18
Bull Case
$79.39
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.3%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$72.18
(+40%)
Market implied 39.3%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$35.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is OBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$266 | 67 BUY |
|
KEY
KeyCorp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$25 | 63 BUY |
|
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$164 | 61 BUY |
|
VLY
Valley National Bancorp |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$17 | 71 BUY |
|
BPOP
Popular Inc |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$195 | 62 BUY |
