Paylocity (PCTY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PCTY - Paylocity Holding Corporation Common Stock
$170.91
2.51 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
-3.54%
30d:
+16.58%
90d:
+22.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
4d
Get Alerted When PCTY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PCTY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PCTY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.59
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PCTY is currently trading at $170.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.19 to $169.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PCTY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.96, while resistance sits at $178.53.
Market Sentiment: PCTY scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PCTY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.96, while resistance sits at $178.53.
Market Sentiment: PCTY scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$145.19 -
$169.56
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($179.45)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.19 -
$169.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.96
Resistance Level
$178.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.67
Wall Street Target
$179.45
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.6%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 15.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.10
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$200.46
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$217.10
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$171.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$213.85
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$211.85
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 7.4%)
$166.90
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.92
Bull Case
$327.06
(+91%)
Analyst growth 76.6%, PE expands to 37.7
Base Case
$297.33
(+74%)
Market implied 76.6%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$114.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 31, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PCTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DDOG
Datadog Inc |
STRONG BUY
48 analysts |
$293 | 56 HOLD |
|
SNOW
Snowflake Inc. |
STRONG BUY
52 analysts |
$425 | 53 HOLD |
|
U
Unity Software Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$50 | 51 HOLD |
|
CRM
Salesforce.com Inc |
STRONG BUY
56 analysts |
$286 | 43 HOLD |
|
ZM
Zoom Video Communication… |
BUY
30 analysts |
$119 | 49 HOLD |
